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Bitcoin network, live

Difficulty, network hashrate, the next adjustment and the countdown to the next halving – and what all of it means for your own miner at home.

Difficulty

126.23 T

Last adjustment -0.74 %

Network hashrate

875 EH/s

3-day average

Block height

959,842

Currently 3.125 BTC per block

Next difficulty adjustment

Every 2016 blocks, roughly every two weeks.

Estimated change

+0.51 %

Period 11.2 % done

Blocks to go
1,790
At block
961,632
Expected
Aug 8, 2026
Current block time
10.2 min

Blocks faster than 10 minutes push the difficulty up, slower blocks push it down.

Countdown to halving #5

At block 1,050,000 · April 2028

626 days
02 hours
16 min
13 sec
Epoch progress 57.1 %

Block subsidy

then halves to

3.125 1.5625 BTC

Projected with 10 minutes per block: over two years the difficulty adjustment pulls any deviation back to that average.

What this means for your miner

At the current difficulty, this is the average waiting time until a miner finds a block on its own. It is an average, not a deadline – solo mining is a lottery where every single block is a fresh draw.

Miner Hashrate Average wait for a block
Bitaxe Gamma 601 1.30 TH/s 13,215 years View
Bitaxe Copperzilla 1.30 TH/s 13,215 years View
Nerdaxe Gamma 1.30 TH/s 13,215 years View
Bitaxe GT 801 2.15 TH/s 7,991 years View
Nerdaxe Gaia 2.60 TH/s 6,608 years View
Bitaxe Supra Hex 702 4.20 TH/s 4,090 years View
NerdQaxe ++ 4.80 TH/s 3,579 years View
Avalon Nano 3S 6.00 TH/s 2,863 years View
NerdOctaxe 12.00 TH/s 1,432 years View
NerdOctaxe Hydro 14.00 TH/s 1,227 years View

Formula: difficulty × 2³² ÷ hashrate. Want to add electricity cost and the value of a block? Mining calculator

Why the difficulty exists

Bitcoin wants a block roughly every ten minutes – no matter whether ten computers or a million machines are mining. Every 2016 blocks the network compares how long the last period actually took and corrects the difficulty accordingly, by at most a factor of four in either direction. That is the whole regulating mechanism: no committee, no vote, just arithmetic that every node performs identically.

What happens at a halving

Every 210,000 blocks the reward for a new block is cut in half. It started at 50 BTC in 2009; today it is 3.125 BTC, and after the next halving it will be 1.5625 BTC. This is how the 21 million cap is enforced – not by a rule that stops issuance, but by a series that keeps halving until nothing is left to halve.

Frequently asked questions

What is the Bitcoin mining difficulty?

The difficulty determines how hard it is to find a valid block. Every 2016 blocks – roughly every two weeks – the network adjusts it so that a block takes about ten minutes on average, no matter how much hashrate is online.

When is the next Bitcoin halving?

The next halving happens at block 1,050,000, estimated for April 2028. The block subsidy then drops from 3.125 to 1.5625 BTC.

Does the difficulty affect my solo mining chances?

Yes, directly. Your expected waiting time for a block is difficulty × 2^32 ÷ your hashrate. If the difficulty rises, the wait gets longer with the same hardware.

Why does the estimated adjustment keep changing?

It is extrapolated from the blocks found so far in the current period. Early in a period a few fast or slow blocks move the estimate a lot; it stabilises towards the end.

Data: mempool.space · updated Jul 27, 15:10 (cached for 5 min)